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CREDITS:
Michael Hobson, aka @tremulantdesign, has created a nice infographic that collates possible futures from dozens of films and graphs them on a handy timeline. Check it out below and map out your future.
I’ve always liked the word futurist,” says Richard Seymour, cofounder and director of Seymourpowell, one of the world’s leading design and innovation companies. “If the definition of a futurist is someone who has a physical effect on the shape of the future, then I’m a futurist.”
Optimistic futurism, the second in the Eastman Innovation Lab’s special edition Into the future video series featuring Seymour, emphasizes the importance of optimism to designers creating the products of tomorrow.
“We make the future; it doesn’t just happen,” Seymour says. “If you stand in the future and, then, draw the present towards you in a series of stepping stones, then, you’re liberated to a view of what’s going to happen that nobody else has got.”
Seymour shares some of his thoughts about the future but he draws a line when he says: “I do think I know what the future is going to be in some regards but I’m damned if I’m going to tell you.”
YET THE FOLLOWING 5 TALKING HEADS HAVE BETTER THEN AVERAGE RECORDS IT SEEMS.
“1. Paul Krugman, New York Times
New York Times columnist Nobel Prize Winner Paul Krugman leads the pack when it comes to making accurate predictions.
2. Maureen Dowd, New York Times
Maureen Dowd, the Pulitzer Prize winning author is another New York Times columnist with a record of accurate predictions in the realm of politics and world affairs.
3. Ed Rendell, Former Pennsylvania Governor
Former Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell (D) has appeared as a political analyst on nearly every major network.
4. Hank Paulson, Bush’s Treasury Secretary
Former Bush administration Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson, forecasts proved accurate.
5. Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi
Although her name is poison on the tip of a conservative’s tongue, former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, (D-CA) has a knack for making predictions.”
This study was based on a paper titled:
ARE ALL TALKING HEADS BLOWING HOT AIR?
“The problem with the real estate market remains excess inventory. Based on Shilling’s research, there are 2 million to 2.5 million excess homes in the country — a supply that will take 4-5 years to work-off. The result: Housing prices will fall another 20% and underwater mortgages will balloon from 23% to 40%, he says.
With housing slumping again, Shilling says recession is coming to a town near you in 2012.”
Source>>>>
Gary Shilling on How to Invest in the Age of Deleveraging and Deflation, Part I
Gary Shilling on How to Invest in the Age of Deleveraging and Deflation, Part II
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