Over the last 30 years, Mesquita has developed a series of mathematical models for forecasting how people interact in complex situations (Bigthink.com).
FUTUREPREDICTIONS AT TWITTER Iran’s Future – Scientific Predictions by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita Prediction: Bruce Bueno de Mesquita on the art and science of prediction Future Predictions: Bruce Bueno de Mesquita Political Forecaster Has Critics
@futurepredict

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also see:
Cartels Are an Emergent Phenomenon, Say Complexity Theorists
http://www.technologyreview.com/blog/arxiv/27512/?nlid=nldly&nld=2012-01-23
Wall Street is also a cartel of sorts…with a good deal of history
that could be used to build, expand, and verify model.
Thanks HK really appreciate the feedback keep it coming….