“Good Magazine ran an interview recently with a man they call The New Nostradamus. Bruce Bueno de Mesquita uses a mathematical model that is based entirely on game theory to predict the outcomes of political conflicts. He takes a very literal interpretation of the phrase “political science” and focuses his analysis strictly on issues of strategic interest, ignoring any cultural or historical aspects of the parties involved. Read More>>>>
He believes that the theory of rational choice can accurately predict the actions of any political actors as long as the data underpinning the determination of interests are correct. An analysis of his model’s predictive abilities done by the CIA found it to be accurate 90 percent of the time.”
Future Predictions Expert
The Dictator’s Handbook
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita (Author), Alastair Smith (Author)
September 2011
Not Yet Published
Hardcover · 336 Pages
$27.99 U.S. · $32.50 CAN
ISBN 9781610390446
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